Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
HJK W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while KuPS W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (86.0 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
9.0%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00