GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HJK helsinki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

HJK helsinki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Motherwell are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HJK helsinki holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HJK helsinki

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

13.3%

HJK helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HJK helsinkiLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
MotherwellWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HJK helsinkiMotherwell
75.0Attack66.7
75.0Defence91.7
58.3Form83.3
65.4Power80.7
1.46xG1.30
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