HJK helsinkivs
Motherwell
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK helsinki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HJK helsinki are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Motherwell are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HJK helsinki holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK helsinki
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
13.3%
HJK helsinki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80