Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyngby · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hillerød are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Lyngby are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyngby hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lyngby holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyngby
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Lyngby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80