Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hillerød are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Esbjerg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Esbjerg hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the 1. Division, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40