Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hilden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hilden are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Unterrath are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hilden hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hilden holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hilden
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Hilden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00