Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HIK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HIK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FA 2000 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FA 2000 hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the 2. Division, while HIK holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HIK
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
13.6%
HIK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00