GGOALVIO

New-Zealand · Chatham Cup · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Napier City Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Hibiscus Coast are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Napier City Rovers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Napier City Rovers hold a 48.0-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Chatham Cup, while Napier City Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Napier City Rovers

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

7.5%

Napier City Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hibiscus CoastWLWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Napier City RoversWLWWL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Hibiscus CoastNapier City Rovers
50.0Attack100.0
16.7Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power90.7
1.84xG2.84
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