Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Partick · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hibernian are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Partick are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Partick hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 75.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the League Cup, while Partick holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Partick
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Partick has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00