Hibernianvs
Motherwell
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 8/2/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernian · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hibernian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Motherwell are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Premiership, while Hibernian holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hibernian
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Hibernian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60