Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hibernian are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Malisheva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hibernian hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Hibernian holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hibernian
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Hibernian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40