GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Premier League · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HFX Wanderers FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

HFX Wanderers FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while York 9 FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HFX Wanderers FC hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Canadian Premier League, while HFX Wanderers FC holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HFX Wanderers FC

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

11.2%

HFX Wanderers FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HFX Wanderers FCLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
York 9 FCWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HFX Wanderers FCYork 9 FC
41.2Attack38.1
49.0Defence26.2
33.3Form33.3
43.3Power35.0
1.99xG1.05
View match centre →