GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colchester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Heybridge Swifts are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Colchester are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Colchester hold a 37.8-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Colchester holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colchester

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Colchester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heybridge SwiftsDDLWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ColchesterDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Heybridge SwiftsColchester
33.3Attack80.0
0.0Defence73.3
50.0Form66.7
32.3Power70.2
1.22xG2.46
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