GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hetman Zamosc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hetman Zamosc are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Star Starachowice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hetman Zamosc hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Hetman Zamosc holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hetman Zamosc

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

12.3%

Hetman Zamosc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hetman ZamoscDDDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Star StarachowiceDLWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hetman ZamoscStar Starachowice
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
33.3Form16.7
48.3Power31.3
1.74xG1.18
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