GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hessen Kassel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Hessen Kassel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while BSG Chemie Leipzig are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and BSG Chemie Leipzig hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hessen Kassel holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hessen Kassel

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Hessen Kassel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hessen KasselWWWDL

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BSG Chemie LeipzigDDLLL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Hessen KasselBSG Chemie Leipzig
72.7Attack83.3
48.5Defence55.6
51.5Form61.1
56.5Power62.5
2.26xG2.10
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