Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Herrera · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Herrera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Veraguas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Veraguas hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Liga Panameña de Fútbol, while Herrera holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Herrera
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Herrera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60