GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hereford · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Hereford are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shrewsbury are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hereford hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hereford holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hereford

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Hereford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HerefordLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ShrewsburyLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HerefordShrewsbury
58.3Attack27.8
91.7Defence55.6
83.3Form27.8
78.6Power40.0
1.96xG0.85
View match centre →