GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Henan Jianye · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Henan Jianye are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Henan Jianye hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Super League, while Henan Jianye holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Henan Jianye

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Henan Jianye has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Henan JianyeWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Wuhan Three TownsWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Henan JianyeWuhan Three Towns
41.3Attack47.6
60.3Defence39.7
46.0Form31.7
50.3Power41.3
1.66xG1.01
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