Henan JianyevsShandong Luneng

Henan Jianye are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shandong Luneng are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Super League, while Henan Jianye holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.