GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Henan Jianye are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.3 against 50.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring a draw with 14.6% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

32.7%

Model confidence

14.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Henan JianyeDWDWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Youth IslandWWLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Henan JianyeQingdao Youth Island
41.3Attack39.4
60.3Defence56.1
46.0Form48.5
50.3Power50.2
1.18xG0.86
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