GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Helmond Sport are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while St. Truiden are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Truiden hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while St. Truiden holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Truiden

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Helmond SportLLDLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
St. TruidenDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Helmond SportSt. Truiden
44.4Attack50.0
44.4Defence57.1
44.4Form57.1
45.9Power55.6
1.32xG1.58
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