GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/9/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Helmond Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Helmond Sport are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while De Graafschap are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Eerste Divisie, while Helmond Sport holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Helmond Sport

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

13.0%

Helmond Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Helmond SportWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
De GraafschapLWLLL

GF 11 · GA 22 · avg 2.20/4.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.53xG1.30
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