Helmond Sportvs
De Graafschap
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eerste Divisie · 8/9/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Helmond Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Helmond Sport are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while De Graafschap are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 4.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Eerste Divisie, while Helmond Sport holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Helmond Sport
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
13.0%
Helmond Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 22 · avg 2.20/4.40