GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Helmond Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Helmond Sport are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AEK Larnaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Helmond Sport hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Helmond Sport holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Helmond Sport

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Helmond Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Helmond SportLLWDD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AEK LarnacaWDDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Helmond SportAEK Larnaca
44.4Attack33.3
44.4Defence50.0
44.4Form16.7
45.9Power36.5
1.71xG1.33
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