GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia · 8/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Verona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hellas Verona are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Virtus Entella are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hellas Verona hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Coppa Italia, while Hellas Verona holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Verona

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

12.2%

Verona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VeronaDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus EntellaLWWLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VeronaVirtus Entella
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
51.0Power45.3
1.68xG1.36
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