Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Verona are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lecco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Verona hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (80.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Verona holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Verona
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Verona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40