Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Helios · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Helios are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Viimsi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Helios hold a 60.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Cup, while Helios holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Helios
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
7.8%
Helios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20