Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Helios · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Helios are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Soccernet are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 4.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Helios hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Cup, while Helios holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Helios
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
7.6%
Helios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.67/2.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.67/4.33