Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Helges are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sunnersta are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold a 56.9-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 78.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.2% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
93.2%
Model confidence
93.2%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60