Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lidingö · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Helges are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lidingö are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lidingö hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Lidingö holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lidingö
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Lidingö has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20