Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korsnäs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Helges are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Korsnäs are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Korsnäs hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Korsnäs holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Korsnäs
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Korsnäs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80