GGOALVIO

China · League One · 6/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wuxi Wugou · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Wuxi Wugou are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wuxi Wugou hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the League One, while Wuxi Wugou holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wuxi Wugou

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heilongjiang Lava SpringLDDLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Wuxi WugouDDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringWuxi Wugou
51.9Attack58.3
35.2Defence62.5
38.9Form47.9
44.6Power56.1
1.21xG2.13
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