GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shaanxi Union · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shaanxi Union are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Shaanxi Union hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the League One, while Shaanxi Union holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shaanxi Union

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Shaanxi Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heilongjiang Lava SpringWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Shaanxi UnionDDLWL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringShaanxi Union
51.9Attack50.0
35.2Defence68.5
38.9Form48.1
44.6Power54.9
1.02xG1.82
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