GGOALVIO

China · League One · 3/21/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nantong Zhiyun are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Zhiyun hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the League One, while Nantong Zhiyun holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nantong Zhiyun

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heilongjiang Lava SpringWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nantong ZhiyunWLLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringNantong Zhiyun
51.9Attack41.2
35.2Defence74.5
38.9Form60.8
44.6Power60.6
0.81xG1.53
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