GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heilongjiang Lava Spring · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nanjing City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.6 against 46.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the League One, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heilongjiang Lava SpringDDWLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Nanjing CityLDWLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringNanjing City
51.9Attack31.5
35.2Defence63.0
38.9Form37.0
44.6Power46.1
1.23xG1.12
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