GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Dalian Huayi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 44.6 against 45.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League One, favouring a draw with 11.5% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.6%

Model confidence

11.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heilongjiang Lava SpringLDLDL

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dalian HuayiDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringDalian Huayi
51.9Attack43.1
35.2Defence49.0
38.9Form35.3
44.6Power45.0
1.70xG1.52
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