GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 6/20/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Preston Lions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heidelberg United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Preston Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Victoria NPL, while Preston Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Preston Lions

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

14.3%

Preston Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heidelberg UnitedLWWDW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Preston LionsWLLWW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Heidelberg UnitedPreston Lions
52.8Attack50.0
54.2Defence72.7
47.2Form65.2
52.7Power63.6
0.95xG1.32
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