GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 8/15/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heidelberg United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hume City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

13.4%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heidelberg UnitedLDWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hume CityWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Heidelberg UnitedHume City
49.3Attack62.3
59.4Defence59.4
49.3Form62.3
54.0Power62.5
1.27xG1.45
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