GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 3/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hegelmann Litauen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hegelmann Litauen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Šiauliai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hegelmann Litauen hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the A Lyga, while Hegelmann Litauen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hegelmann Litauen

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Hegelmann Litauen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hegelmann LitauenDDLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ŠiauliaiLDDWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hegelmann LitauenŠiauliai
34.7Attack33.3
45.3Defence32.0
30.7Form22.7
38.9Power32.0
1.54xG0.98
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