Hegelmann Litauenvs
Šiauliai
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 3/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hegelmann Litauen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hegelmann Litauen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Šiauliai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hegelmann Litauen hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the A Lyga, while Hegelmann Litauen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hegelmann Litauen
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Hegelmann Litauen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80