Hegelmann IIvs
Garliava
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Garliava · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Hegelmann II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Garliava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and garliava hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (32.1 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the 1 Lyga, favouring Garliava with 12.7% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Garliava
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
12.7%
Garliava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00