GGOALVIO

Hegelmann II logoHegelmann IIvsŽalgiris II logoŽalgiris II

COMPLETED

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 7/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Hegelmann II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Žalgiris II

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

62.3%

Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hegelmann IILWWLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Žalgiris IIWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hegelmann IIŽalgiris II
35.0Attack51.7
25.0Defence53.3
26.7Form51.7
31.7Power53.2
0.99xG2.28
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