England · National League - North · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hednesford Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hednesford Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Scarborough Athletic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Scarborough Athletic hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the National League - North, while Hednesford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hednesford Town
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
14.1%
Hednesford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80