GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/19/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heilongjiang Lava Spring · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hebei Kungfu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Heilongjiang Lava Spring hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the League One, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hebei KungfuLLWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringDDDWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Hebei KungfuHeilongjiang Lava Spring
22.2Attack51.9
59.3Defence35.2
27.8Form38.9
39.4Power44.6
1.03xG1.18
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