GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Hebei Kungfu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hebei KungfuDLLLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Guangxi HengchenWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hebei KungfuGuangxi Hengchen
22.2Attack58.8
59.3Defence58.8
27.8Form56.9
39.4Power59.4
0.63xG1.39
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