Hebei Kungfuvs
Dongguan United
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 4/12/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hebei Kungfu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dongguan United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hebei Kungfu hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20