GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hartlepool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hebburn Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hartlepool are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hartlepool hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 61.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hartlepool holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hartlepool

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

10.9%

Hartlepool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hebburn TownDDLWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HartlepoolWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hebburn TownHartlepool
50.0Attack80.0
61.1Defence53.3
55.6Form60.0
57.8Power61.8
1.67xG1.69
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