GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Heart Of Midlothian are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rayo Vallecano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rayo Vallecano hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (13.1 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Heart Of Midlothian holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heart Of Midlothian

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heart Of MidlothianWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rayo VallecanoLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Heart Of MidlothianRayo Vallecano
22.2Attack22.2
0.0Defence38.9
0.0Form27.8
13.1Power32.5
1.66xG1.47
View match centre →