GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heart Of Midlothian are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Inverness CT are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Inverness CT hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the League Cup, while Heart Of Midlothian holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heart Of Midlothian

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

12.8%

Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heart Of MidlothianWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Inverness CTDDWWW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Heart Of MidlothianInverness CT
77.8Attack41.7
55.6Defence91.7
66.7Form83.3
65.1Power75.3
1.56xG1.33
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