GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heart Of Midlothian are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Dundee Utd are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heart Of Midlothian hold a 41.5-point power-rating edge (62.5 v 21.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Premiership, while Heart Of Midlothian holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heart Of Midlothian

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

10.6%

Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heart Of MidlothianLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dundee UtdDLWWL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Heart Of MidlothianDundee Utd
83.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence16.7
50.0Form16.7
62.5Power21.0
2.11xG0.97
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