GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Heart Of Midlothian are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Benfica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica hold a 57.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benfica

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

11.7%

Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Heart Of MidlothianWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BenficaDWWLW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Heart Of MidlothianBenfica
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power72.7
1.14xG1.88
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