HBvs
Motherwell
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
HB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Motherwell are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 67.6-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 80.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Motherwell
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20