Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
HB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while B68 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HB hold a 24.3-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 33.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.5% in the Meistaradeildin, while HB holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB
Probability
76.5%
Model confidence
76.5%
HB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20